Directed Acyclic Graphs for Causal Inference – January 2023

Event Phone: 610-715-0115

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A 3-Day Livestream Seminar
Taught by Felix Elwert, Ph.D

This seminar offers an applied introduction to directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) for causal inference. DAGs are a powerful new tool for understanding and resolving causal issues in empirical research. DAGs are useful for social and biomedical researchers, and for business and policy analysts who want to draw causal inferences from non-experimental data. A major attraction of DAGs is that they are “algebra-free,” relying instead on intuitive yet rigorous graphical rules.

The two primary uses of DAGs are (1) determining when causal effects can be identified from observed data, and (2) deriving the testable implications of a causal model. DAGs are also helpful for understanding the causal assumptions behind widely used estimation strategies, such as regression, matching, and instrumental variables analysis.

The seminar will start by introducing the essential elements for causal reasoning with DAGs and then use DAGs to discuss a range of important challenges in observational data analysis. Topics include: conditions for the identification of causal effects; d-separation; the difference between confounding, over-control, and selection bias; identification by adjustment; backdoor identification; what variables to control for in observational research; what variables not to control for in observational research; structural assumptions in regression; and instrumental variables analysis.

This seminar will empower participants to recognize and understand problems and to spot fresh opportunities for causal inference in their own data. This is a hands–on course with carefully structured and supervised exercises. Many of these exercises will use the freeware package DAGitty which allows users to draw and analyze causal graphs. See the computing section below for more details.

For background and preparation, we recommend reading:

Keele L, Stevenson RT, Elwert F (2019). “The causal interpretation of estimated associations in regression models.” Political Science Research and Methods. Click here.

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